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February 10, 2008
So I was wrong, but in a good way
Obama didn't just barely beat Clinton. He won by the proverbial landslide: 59 to 41, with 79% reporting.
And as dansolomon clued me in on the comments below the comments below we should expect a win for Obama in Americans Abroad as well.
As Bob points out below, Patty Solis Doyle was purportedly canned because of a lack of ground coordination of the Clinton campaign's message. This is kind of shocking to me - I think the message ("experience, day one work start, roll up my sleeves") has been crystal clear to anyone with a tv, the internet and half a brain. I think the bigger issue that the Clinton campaign is reluctant to admit is that it's kind of a crappy message. I mean, are we to believe that any of these candidates got to where they are without working hard, and without a fair amount of experience? The problem isn't the message isn't being heard. The problem is the message isn't being valued.
Final point: we can only hope Bush continues to "critique" Obama in his loud and whiney voice as often as possible. It only makes the contrast that much more obvious. Come on Republicans, this is your shot at redemption: vote Obama!
Posted By JumpyPants | February 10, 2008 07:38 PM | DIGG ME!
Comments
If Obama wins Texas, can we stick a fork in this thing and call it done?
Posted by: edzeppelin ![[TypeKey Profile Page]](http://www.bobcesca.com/nav-commenters.gif)
at February 10, 2008 07:54 PM
I think it should be wrapped up after Tuesday, but with March 4 bursting with 444 delegates, she may hold out. There's another 358 between now and then. She may just try to duke it out and try to keep things too close to call.
If she can secure financing to last the campaign another 3 weeks, she'll wait for Texas and pray the percentages go something like 45/50. If there are no solid wins, she can pretend for a while longer that she still has a chance. Any more shut outs like this weekend, though, and everyone will know it's over.
Of course, I'm not considering the supers. Relying on them, to me at least, is like relying on your friend to get you that job over the other guy that's more qualified.
Posted by: Nanotyrannus at February 10, 2008 08:16 PM
I think it's a mistake to assume that the uncommitted supers are leaning Clinton. They're uncommitted for a reason at this point, and it's probably to make sure they endorse a winner. I think it's totally possible that she's going to end up bleeding support from the ones who've already endorsed, rather than gaining support from those who haven't.
If this Tuesday goes as poorly for her as anticipated, sticking around through to Texas will make her look like Huckabee. She has no chance of getting more than a delegate and a quarter for every delegate Obama scores in Texas, and it's just as likely they'll split it even. She could even lose the delegate contest if she wins the state, given how Texas works, and the anticipated win in Ohio will probably split close to even, too. I don't know what her endgame is here, honestly. Tuesday will pretty much decide this whole thing, and I would not be surprised if she bails shortly thereafter.
--d
Posted by: dansolomon at February 10, 2008 09:01 PM
I don't think they are necessarily committed to her, but it sounds like she is definitely counting on them to save her at the last minute. That and the rules committee allowing at least Florida to be seated at the convention. Michigan may have another official primary and who knows, maybe this time with Obama on the ballot, he may have a good showing.
I think some of the supers may go into hiding to avoid all of this until the convention. I mean, it sounds almost like a strange parallel primary going on in a different dimension.
Posted by: Nanotyrannus at February 10, 2008 09:17 PM
Okay, in case you haven't heard, Obama is now officially guilty of "piling on". He also beat out bill Clinton for the Grammy for best spoken word, for "The Audacity of Hope".
Posted by: bajasteve at February 10, 2008 11:32 PM
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