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July 23, 2008
It Won't Be Mark Warner
VA-SENATE
Warner (D) 57%, Gilmore (R) 32%
To snatch him up for Senator Obama's VP slot would be a major loss in the effort to lock in a solid Senate majority. Already we're losing two seats... Senator Lieberman (for what he's worth) is likely going to caucus with the Republicans following the RNC. And of course Senator Obama will hopefully be vacating his seat. Losing candidate Warner (or Senators Webb or Clinton for that matter) would be a huge mistake.
That makes me think governor or general: Governor Sebelius or Rendell. Or General Clark. Place your bets, but if I were to put money on this, I'd go with Governor Sebelius. Rendell isn't really a solid successor in 2016. General Clark's so-called "gaffe" might have hurt his chances, and he doesn't bring a political machine to the table.
Filed under: Barack Obama || Joe Lieberman || Polls || Republicans || Senate
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Posted By Bob Cesca | July 23, 2008 11:09 AM
Comments
I hate to be this guy, but Rendell and Sebeilus are both DLC drones. Also Rendell looks like the living embodiment of the term "politician".
Word on the street is that the Obama people think Clark is toxic because of his comments on McCain's POW stint.
At this stage I think it might be a dark horse candidate of some kind. And if it's Hillary I completely give up.
Posted by: Travis Disaster ![[TypeKey Profile Page]](http://www.bobcesca.com/nav-commenters.gif)
at July 23, 2008 11:21 AM
Does Clark carry any of the Clinton machine with him?
Evan Bayh is the strong favorite right now at betfair.com, which accurately predicted every single primary, at 5-1. Clinton, Sebelius, and Joe Biden also have pretty good odds. Edwards and Tim Kaine are also under 10-1. Everybody else is a longer shot than that. Clark's at 18-1, which makes me think that he might be worth putting ten quid on.
I think Bayh's probably the most realistic bet right now, though. That family's been waiting for a table at this restaurant for a long time.
--d
Posted by: dansolomon at July 23, 2008 12:03 PM
Bayh is a terrible choice for a laundry list of reasons.
Posted by: Bob_Cesca at July 23, 2008 12:14 PM
Evan Bayh is the white Harold Ford.
Posted by: Travis Disaster at July 23, 2008 12:17 PM
I do not like Rendell. Ick. Puke. Gag.
Posted by: ceu at July 23, 2008 1:16 PM
For what is worth. Rendell did get some progressive things done last month with the Clean Air Bill and the Autism Bill. Late on July 3rd, Colon Cancer Screening was added to the Autism Bill. He does have a machine.
Negatives - How far will "Bonusgate" go? Tolling on I-80 and he seemed to skate pretty easy from the storm that locked up the interstates.
Posted by: vuwildcat88 at July 23, 2008 2:00 PM
My votes for Tim Kaine.
Posted by: midad at July 23, 2008 4:14 PM
I thought Harold Ford was the white Harold Ford.
Posted by: Broadway Carl at July 23, 2008 4:18 PM
What about the Jack Reed rumors? I don't know much about him and am researching as I write this. Does anyone have an opinion on him?
Posted by: Broadway Carl at July 23, 2008 4:23 PM
I'll put $2 on Hagel...
Posted by: Slowrider at July 23, 2008 4:43 PM
NO to Chuck Hagel. We have a huge pool of qualified candidates in the Democratic party. We don't need someone from the GOP just because he agrees with us on one issue.
Carl - here's a site to help with your research.
http://www.ontheissues.org/Senate/Jack_Reed.htm
Posted by: ceu at July 23, 2008 5:08 PM
Yeah- Chuck Hagel is a non-starter. I've heard recently that he's like McCain in that he has this reputation of speaking against the administration then votes right along with every thing they want.
Ya know, Obama could just wait patiently. Right now the McCain people are ready to pounce on whoever he chooses with their usual brand of lies and smear, but it may be better to wait until closer to the convention. Obama has not made an easy target for them. By remaining the only target, he can continue to run McCain into the ground then pick a VP when there is little time for them to campaign against his pick.
And Harold Ford? I'd rather see him pick Hillary Clinton.
Posted by: Nanotyrannus at July 23, 2008 7:27 PM
Another vote for Tim Kaine! He ROCKS and his seat is up next year!
Posted by: natashacrk at July 23, 2008 9:25 PM
