Iran

Iran Breaches Nuclear Deal Trump Withdrew From

JM Ashby
Written by JM Ashby

By their own admission, Iran has now stockpiled more low-enriched uranium than permitted under the terms of the 2015 nuclear peace deal negotiated by the Obama administration.

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), which previously reported that Iran was abiding by the terms of the deal, has also confirmed that Iran has now violated the terms.

The U.N. nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), which monitors Iran’s nuclear program under the deal, confirmed in Vienna that Tehran had breached the limit. [...]

Iran has said it aims to do so but cannot do so indefinitely, as long as sanctions imposed by Trump have deprived it of the benefits it was meant to receive in return for accepting curbs on its nuclear program under the deal.

Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said Iran had passed the threshold, exactly as it had warned it would: “We have said very transparently what we will do.”

You're going to see a lot of headlines referring to this as the 'first violation of the deal,' but that's misleading at best.

The truth is Trump violated the deal more than a year ago when he withdrew from the agreement and reimposed sanctions on Iran's economy even though Iran was still complying with the terms of the deal. Iran continued to comply with the terms of the deal even after Trump reimposed sanctions and today marks their first violation of the terms.

It's not as if I desire to take Iran's side on the matter, but given the facts of the case, how could you not? Iran agreed to continue complying with the terms of the Obama administration's deal under assurances from the European Union (EU) that they could protect European and Iranian businesses from the Trump regime's sanctions, but the EU was not able to secure as much business as they hoped to. And at this point, Iran has little if any incentive to continue honoring the deal. Why should they?

I don't know what's going to happen next, but if this leads to an arms race in the Middle East, a limited conflict or a wider war, it will be Trump's fault.

The Trump regime could end with both Iran and North Korea in possession of nuclear weapons.

  • Nefercat

    The Trump regime could end with both Iran and North Korea in possession of nuclear weapons.

    And they will blame President Obama. I don’t mean this as snark or funny. They will, and media that should know better will treat the accusation seriously, picking apart the treaty negotiations and President Obama’s refusal to “reach out” to NK (yeah, yeah, trump is claiming that Obama begged NK for a meeting, but that was then, this is now, etc.).

  • Draxiar

    This fuckwit, trump, will end us.

  • muselet

    Juan Cole last week:

    I can’t get anybody to believe me on this, but Iran is a Shiite theocracy led by an Ayatollah, and Ali Khamenei has given several fatwas (fatwas or considered legal rulings can be oral) in which he has forbidden the making, stockpiling or use of nuclear weapons. Khamenei rules according to Islamic law, which disallows the deliberate infliction of mass casualties on civilian noncombatants in war. Nuclear weapons obviously target the populations of whole cities and so the ayatollahs consider them tools of Satan.

    On the other hand, having the world know that you could whip up a nuclear bomb in short order is a form of deterrence against invasion. Japan has that capability. Iran probably had that capability before 2015.

    We can be reasonably certain Iran is not building a nuclear weapon. The US intelligence community doesn’t think it is, and those folks are paid to be ludicrously paranoid about everyone.

    So if what Trump wanted was no Iranian nuke, he had that when he was sworn into office in 2017. By breaching the treaty and refusing to reward Iran’s good behavior by ceasing sanctions, Trump put the US on a war footing with Iran.

    […]

    It is frustrating that Trump is dancing on the brink of a war for a purpose that had already been attained. This is why it is bad to elect people to high office who have mental health problems.

    It’s also why it’s bad to have people with mental health problems *cough* John Bolton* cough* advising a president.

    –alopecia

  • Aynwrong

    “The Trump regime could end with both Iran and North Korea in possession of nuclear weapons.”

    And the entire Republican party and all conservative media (same thing?) and their gullible tapioca brained voters will immediately blame The Liberals™ followed by a chorus of reporters who love to report “both sides” of the story.

    As I said in the in the North Korea post, I love my country, but sometimes I really hate it.

  • Dread_Pirate_Mathius

    “How dare you not keep honoring your end of the deal after I broke my end?”