Election 2018

RNC Poll: GOP Voters Are Complacent Because of Trump

JM Ashby
Written by JM Ashby

While most polling tell us Democrats are in a very strong position heading into the midterm elections, Democratic voters should not become complacent. They certainly shouldn't become as complacent or outright delusional as many Republican voters apparently are.

Businessweek obtained the results of an internal poll conducted for the Republican National Committee (RNC) that found that at least half of GOP voters don't believe the polls.

Moreover, half of GOP voters believe a red wave is coming, not a blue wave.

If overconfident Republican voters stay home, Democrats could win a landslide. The report urges GOP officials to yank their voters back to reality: “We need to make real the threat that Democrats have a good shot of winning control of Congress.” [...]

The internal RNC study finds that complacency among GOP voters is tied directly to their trust in the president—and their distrust of traditional polling. “While a significant part of that lack of intensity is undoubtedly due to these voters’ sentiments toward the President, it may also be partly because they don’t believe there is anything at stake in this election,” the authors write.

Republicans officials who want to "yank their voters back to reality" have a very big problem on their hands: Trump

Trump has repeatedly told crowds at his rallies that a "red wave" is coming. He told them what they wanted to hear and they believed it.

We can't say for certain that Democrats will regain control of either chamber of Congress, but I think we can say there will be no "red wave." Republicans are going to lose seats. How many seats they lose will depend entirely on turnout.

As far as I know, there's no one comparable to Trump on the left that's telling Democrats voters that victory is assured.

  • swift_4

    The reason Republicans even have any real power is because they vote every year, in every election. If Democrats did that, we wouldn’t have had Bush or Trump.

  • muselet

    If Republican voters wake up on November 7 to find the Ds have won both houses of Congress—or even just made significant inroads—some not-insignificant fraction of them will go absolutely ape-scat, and they’ll be urged on by R politicians (specifically including Donald Trump) and Righty media.

    The next two years may be the kind of ugly that makes the past two look paradisiacal.


    • Christopher Foxx

      I think sometimes we really needed Trump. Given how things have gone for the past 30 years or so, with the Republicans moving from partisan conservatives trying to gain control of Congress to traitorous pieces of shit actively working to destroy every American institution, we needed something to finally go way too far.

      Had Clinton won on 2016, we’d be getting another four (or more) years of the absolute lies and obstruction that we’ve seen since at least 1992. it would be astoundingly bad, but at least their most vile actions would be held in some check.

      But with Trump, and their unfailing support of all he does and their transparent greed, hypocrisy and treason, they’ve gone so far that even those who were apathetic towrads their earlier actions are turning against them.

      At times I thin that having Clinton as President would have only continued the sickness. At least with Trump in place the tumor has grown so big and bad enough that it finally gets cut our.

      • Scopedog

        I’ve had similar thoughts myself–that Trump has provided a much-needed wake up call to Americans that no, you cannot afford to take democracy for granted. For 30 fucking years we also heard the bleating of “both parties suck and voting doesn’t matter!!” and also “Vote your conscience! (So throw your vote away to a third-party dingus), so of course we got Reagan, Bush 2, and now Trump, who’s the worst one yet.

        I really wanted Hillary to win, and there would be no doubt that she would be a much, MUCH better President. But it would have lead to complacency on our side and more howlings of “yeah, whatever”–and we would see a repeat of 2010 and 2014.

        Well, we’ve gone through two years of hell, and now, the point has been forcefully made–you cannot take democracy for granted. Sorry.

        I don’t see Democrats being complacent this year, thank heavens. If the GOP voters want to stay complacent due to Trump, then let them–and let’s make sure they get inundated by the blue wave.

        • Christopher Foxx

          Well, we’ve gone through two years of hell, and now, the point has been forcefully made

          Agreed. And yet, there are still some people….

          • Scopedog

            “Agreed. And yet, there are still some people….”

            Yep. See Walker Bragman, Howie Klein of DownWithTyranny!, Jimmy Dore, Nomiki Konst, David Klion, Susan Sarandon….the list goes on.

          • Christopher Foxx


      • muselet

        I don’t disagree, but …

        Peak Wingnut is a myth and the barrel has no bottom. Sanity will not return to the Right until the GOP goes the way of the Whigs.

        Maybe—maybe—Donald Trump’s antics will speed the decline of the Republican Party, but it will still be a long, slow process. What’s really needed is for Ds and liberals and progressives and just plain reasonable people to get out and vote for the most liberal candidate on the ballot.


  • 1933john

    “Set-up” for “Voter Fraud”?

    • I don’t think Trumpov is that smart. He IS that delusional, however.