Outreach Poll

You’re Doing Great

JM Ashby
Written by JM Ashby

According to a new poll released by Latino Decisions, nearly 90 percent of Latino voters have a negative view of GOP frontrunner and likely presidential nominee Donald Trump.

Furthermore, Latino voters are more enthusiastic than ever to cast a vote against Donald Trump.

According to the poll, Donald Trump also garners the most unfavorable view among Latinos, with 87 percent of Latinos saying they see him as unfavorable.

By comparison, Latinos' unfavorable view of Hillary Clinton is 32 percent and her favorable rating is 61 percent. [...]

A presidential contest between Clinton and Trump would garner a higher share of the Latino voters for Hillary Clinton, 76 percent, than Barack Obama in 2012, which was 71 percent according to Pew.

As a matter of fact, there's no way a Republican can win the White House with just 20 percent or less of the Latino vote. Moreover, even 30 percent of the Latino vote would not be enough according to some studies. Latino Decisions estimates that the Republican nominee would need at least 40 percent or more of the Latino vote to win.

Mitt Romney won just 27 percent of the Latino vote in 2012 and that was a new low point for the GOP. Personally, the idea that Trump could win 20 percent or more of the vote seems far too optimistic (for the GOP) to me.

Consider that we're still in primary season and Thunderdome 2016 has not even taken place yet. Consider that Democratic PACs and trackers have not even begun to unload everything they're sitting on against Trump.

If the election were left to just white men, Trump might win, but the good news for all of us is that white men and white people in general no longer dictate the outcome of presidential elections.

The electoral map continues to expand for Democrats and shrink for Republicans.

  • muselet

    Good news, but there are too many things that can still go wrong. Our glorious news media have decided to fluff Donald Trump because he’s behaving less like a reality-TV contestant and more like a (thin-skinned bully of a) businessman, the anti-Clinton ads will be impossible to avoid from June till November, and as I’ve said before, all it’ll take is one act of terrorism or an economic downturn for the general to turn into a knife fight.

    When Hillary Clinton is sworn in, then I’ll get cocky about the general election. Until then, no.


    • Badgerite

      True, but in terms of the people he has attacked, the Latino vote and others, as Josh Marshall at TPM says , I don’t see how he walks that back. And if he tries to, there is always the video tape. Of which there is plenty.

      • muselet

        I know.

        I just get queasy when sensible people say the short-fingered vulgarian can’t possibly win the general. Things can still go pear-shaped, and Trump can win if they do.


        • Badgerite

          I shudder. But your point is well taken.

  • Scopedog

    The electoral map continues to expand for Democrats and shrink for Republicans.

    One hopes, Ashby…one hopes.

  • Dread_Pirate_Mathius

    That’s not even just “Latinos,” but even better: registered voter Latinos. The general population hating him is good, but voters hating him is even better.

    And, in the interest of full disclosure, you should add that Bernie got the same favorable as Hill with 8% less unfavorable. (further disclaimer, I still think he needs to drop out).

    Also, Obama beat them both with 73%.

    Also, 31% said the Red Shirt Party is “hostile to the Latino community.” Ouch. (42% said the Red Shirts “don’t care much” – only 14% said they “truly care.”)

    • Scopedog

      “The Red Shirt Pary”, huh? Well, you know what happens to red shirts (if you’re a fan of Star Trek, that is….:) )….

  • Badgerite

    Mr. Authentic is actually the most supremely phony candidate I have ever seen. He makes Richard Nixon, (President Truthful) look ‘sincere’.

  • Victor the Crab

    And yet, Republicans as well as the BernieBums, who are going into full diaper baby mode now that reality is savage slapping them in the face after Tuesday, keep insisting that Hillary is going to lose the general election in November because: $HILLARY THE SHE DEVIL WITCH!!!!!

    • Scopedog

      Yeah, it’s been sad to see how many of the BBs have gone-full tilt around the far-Left bend that they’ve slammed into the Right. And I suppose they have found common ground.

      Lord, I detest purists…

  • Aynwrong

    And thus we see the true reason for new voter ID laws. The GOP’s inability to compete.