If you’re a Republican, you’re probably over-confident in your party’s chances in the forthcoming midterms. Of course you are. The common wisdom online and on cable news is that the Democrats are headed toward another 2010-style shellacking due to President Obama’s responsibility for everything that’s wrong in the world, not to mention the (non)reality that he invented presidential golf vacations. Admittedly, I hadn’t looked at the polls in a while so I was thinking along the same lines: it’s going to be a shitty November for the Democrats. Some headlines:
Then I checked Real Clear Politics today and it appears as if Democratic prospects aren’t as horrifying as everyone says. Far from it. In fact, if the election were held today, nothing at the congressional or gubernatorial levels would change all that significantly. Sorry, folks, your fabricated narrative is horseshit.
Before we get into the midterm numbers… CONTINUE READING