Study: Trump’s Anti-Legal Immigration Plan Would Cost 4.6 Million Jobs

JM Ashby
Written by JM Ashby

Trump's anti-legal immigration plan, the Reforming American Immigration for Strong Employment (RAISE) Act, appears to be dead on arrival, but everyone should know how bad it would be if congressional Republicans decide to advance it at a later date.

You may say the "Strong Employment Act" is ironically named because, according to the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School, it would cost 4.6 million jobs over the next 20 years. And that's not all.

In a report published Thursday, the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School said the immigration plan, dubbed the RAISE Act, would result in 4.6 million lost jobs by the year 2040. It also found that the U.S. economy would be 2% smaller than it would be under the current immigration policy during that time. [...]

Economists say the U.S. economy depends on foreign workers to grow the labor force and maintain growth. Since 2000, Baby Boomers have been retiring at a much faster pace than the U.S. job market has been growing, according to data from the Atlanta Federal Reserve and Labor Department.

Our economy is effectively subsidized by the presence of 27 million foreign-born workers and those workers will only become more important over time as more old (white) Americans retire or otherwise exit the labor force.

The White House has dismissed this study by saying the economic benefits of legal immigration come "at the expense of American workers," but the truth is those "American workers" don't exist. This is not dependent on your own personal view or opinion of immigrants, it's mathematics. Just the same, the White House also says the study had "methodological faults" but apparently didn't explain what those faults are.

As you may know, the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School is the school that Donald Trump allegedly attended.

  • muselet

    It also found that the U.S. economy would be 2% smaller than it would be under the current immigration policy during that time.

    2% represents a serious hit to the economy, one of several serious hits Trump administration policies will deliver (global warming will not have a benign effect on the economy, to choose but one example).

    I wonder how economic anxiety will manifest itself in 2040?


  • Wharton is a good school and odds are the majority of its graduates are ashamed that he is an alumni.

  • Aynwrong

    I can just imagine the response if a reporter demanded that the White House back up their questioning of the study. Baby Goebbels would emerge to cry “cosmopolitan” for the cameras.

  • The only downside to it being dead is not being able to watch republican voters realize the actual jobs that TrumGOP “created” for them.

    • ninjaf

      They would still find a way to blame Democrats.

      • Draxiar

        And the GOP supporters would find a way to believe it.

  • ninjaf

    Since the Bush II administration, Republicans have been almost Orwellian in naming their bills. Whatever is supposedly being improved, supported, or saved is usually what is actually being diminished, undermined, or reduced.

    • Exactly as whatever they accuse Obama and Dems of is what they themselves are actually doing. It predates Trump but he relies on it most heavily. Kept waiting for him to accuse Hillary of having a bad combover, he’s so damn pathological about it.

      The “boing-fwip” is a multipurpose tool of theirs.

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