The White House Score of Trumpcare is Worse Than the CBO Score

JM Ashby
Written by JM Ashby

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) score of Paul Ryan's repeal and "replace" bill is pretty bad, right?

It must be fake news!

Actually, the Trump White House estimates that 26 million would lose coverage under the bill, 2 million more than the CBO's estimate.

The preliminary analysis from the Office of Management and Budget forecast that 26 million people would lose coverage over the next decade, versus the 24 million CBO estimates. The White House has made efforts to discredit the forecasts from the nonpartisan CBO.

White House officials late Monday night disputed that the document is an analysis of the bill’s coverage effects. Instead, they say it was an attempt by the OMB to predict what CBO’s scorekeepers would conclude about the GOP repeal plan.

If they really were attempting to predict what the CBO would say, that obviously means they're using the CBO's numbers as a baseline. It also means they already had a fairly good idea of what the score would be when the White House began to publicly embrace Paul Ryan's bill.

We can only assume Trump would gladly sign the bill if it does reach his desk. That seems unlikely at this point, but anything could happen.

If the GOP's Obamacare repeal plan collapses, their entire legislative agenda will be at risk of collapse. Paul Ryan's agenda is at risk of collapse.

  • Draxiar

    The idea that the trump administration would come out before the CBO report to try and discredit it tells you all you need to know about the AHCA. They KNOW it’s destructive legislation and the KNOW it’s not going to be scored well. That it initially removes 14 million and eventually 24 million people from the rolls is a feature not a bug. So, they discredit it ahead of time and the diehards will accept that it’s not true. Of course the trump admin then says that it removes 26 million from the rolls, well, they won’t count themselves as among “those” people…at least not until they can’t afford it anymore.

  • muselet

    If millions wouldn’t lose their health insurance, I’d liken the whole RepubliCare fiasco to a Three Stooges short, in which they manage hilariously to reduce a pristine store/workshop/whatever to sticks and splinters in under ten minutes. The difference is the Rs aren’t funny. Or efficient, even when it comes to destruction.

    Instead, I’ll thank all the gods that ever were and ever will be that the Rs are a bunch of borderline-incompetents who will fight amongst themselves while chipping away gradually at the protections of the ACA. We may survive this, but it will take a fair amount of luck.


  • Aynwrong

    “Instead, they say it was an attempt by the OMB to predict what CBO’s scorekeepers would conclude about the GOP repeal plan.”

    I suppose I should give the White House Press Corp credit for maintaining straight faces in the face of such unremitting, laughable bullshit but honestly lies this obvious deserve as much public contempt and scorn as possible. I would love to see a reporter just lose it and scream out “AWW, COME ON!!!”

  • Username1016

    “Paul Ryan’s agenda is at risk of collapse.”

    Well that would be a dandy outcome! Crossing fingers here. (Not quite confident enough to get me some popcorn, but…)

    • ninjaf

      Yeah, Republicans are known for falling in line when push comes to shove.

      • bphoon

        That’s the main reason I’m not holding my breath. Republicans are famous for talking all their shit until it comes time to attach their name to a vote. They have a history of falling in line when they have that kind of exposure and threats of retribution start flying around. See the 2016 Presidential Election for validation.

    • JMAshby

      I’m not popping my popcorn yet, but Ryan’s demise is within sight range.

      • bphoon

        Would love to believe that. However, I’m going to save the celebration until the moment when he actually goes down.