Iran

Trump is Withdrawing From The Iran Nuclear Deal

JM Ashby
Written by JM Ashby

Trump won't make the official announcement until 2 p.m. this afternoon, but the New York Times reported this morning that Trump will announce that he's withdrawing from the deal.

More specifically, Trump reportedly plans to reinstate all sanctions that were lifted as part of the deal and even impose new sanctions on top of that.

The United States is preparing to reinstate all sanctions it had waived as part of the nuclear accord — and impose additional economic penalties as well, the person said.

A second person familiar with negotiations to keep the 2015 accord in place said the talks collapsed over Mr. Trump’s insistence that sharp limits be kept on Iran’s nuclear fuel production after 2030. The deal currently lifts those limits.

Mr. Trump is planning to formally announce his decision at 2 p.m. on Tuesday at the White House.

Trump reportedly told French President Emmanuel Macron of his plans by phone this morning and someone in either administration relayed the details of their conversation to the Times.

As for what happens next, there are so many daunting implications it's hard to know where to begin.

We're not just breaking promises we made to Iran, we're also breaking promises we made alongside our European allies who also signed on to the Iran nuclear deal. We're betraying the faith they placed in American institutions.

Trump could also be scuttling an opportunity to negotiate a similar nuclear deal with North Korea. What reason would North Korea have to give up the nuclear weapons they've already developed if it's possible Trump will simply reimpose sanctions in the future?

Trump's actions will demonstrate that the United States is not a reliable treaty partner because even if the next president says and does all the right things, it could be just a matter of time before American voters decide they're sick of stability and choose to elect another maniac.

Now, this may be far above my pay grade, but if you look at how things have unfolded in Iran and North Korea, I think you could justifiably conclude that developing nuclear weapons actually is the way to go. Trump has treated the North with far more respect than Iran and, in fact, developing nuclear weapons doesn't seem to have cost the North anything. We've imposed significant sanctions on North Korea, but Trump is going to reimpose sanctions on Iran even though Iran has complied with the terms of our deal.

There's no reason to comply and plenty of reasons not to.

  • muselet

    As a result of Donald Trump’s unilateral withdrawal from an international agreement, no country in the world will have any reason to trust the US to stand by any agreement or obligation. That’s a dangerous message to be sending.

    Apart from this being Trump’s latest attempt to erase Barack Obama from the history books, BBC News reports this:

    US National Security Advisor John Bolton is reported as saying that European companies doing business with Iran will have to finish within six months or face US sanctions.

    That’s a … erm … unique way of dealing with allies.

    And if that’s not enough, there’s this:

    … Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says he “fully supports” Mr Trump’s “bold” withdrawal from a “disastrous” deal.

    And Saudi Arabia, Iran’s regional rival, says it “supports and welcomes” Mr Trump’s moves towards pulling out of the deal.

    The Likud Party and Saudi Arabia support this boneheaded move. No, that’s not disturbing at all. it’s not as if the Middle East is a volatile region of the world or anytning like that.

    I made this bitter joke some months ago, albeit with a slightly different cast of characters, and it’s no funnier now than it was then:

    DONALD TRUMP: What am I going to do with this lighter? Oh, look, a big pool of gasoline.

    JOHN BOLTON: Light it up! Do it, man! Fire pretty!

    The world is a more dangerous place because an aggressively ignorant man like Donald Trump was elected President of the United States.

    –alopecia

  • Aynwrong

    Glenn Greenwald is on Twitter saying that there is no evidence that Hillary Clinton wouldn’t have done this as well. Is there a diagnosis for this kind denial of the obvious? The best I can come up with is pathologically full of shit.

    • muselet

      Oh. Good. Lord.

      –alopecia

  • katanahamon

    What’s really moronic is that without the United front of our allies, no sanctions the US imposes will matter. The other countries will be free to trade and deal with Iran as they see fit. Another failure of media to not hold Rump and Co responsible. Of course, Rump won’t hold an open press conference anymore, and he only talks to Fox, but Sanders needs to be confronted. Rump has no “proof” of Iranian misconduct, this all smells like the run up to the Iraq war..propaganda to justify a war.

  • Draxiar

    I fucking hate this creature called trump.

  • I don’t get this: The Left completely ignored this Iran Agreement even though it achieves something we all claimed to want: less US violence in the Middle East. Hilary would have kept this at least, but she’s the warmonger! Or something! Fuck it, I consider myself on the left, but too many of my fellow travelers over here are motivated by anti-Americanism so bad they ignore it when we do something right. Sorry, not completely on topic. I’m just drained today.

    • Scopedog

      Good point, Goldie–and you’re right; they never even fucking considered it, not for one goddamned second. It was all about drones, drones, drones and how Hillary was a fucking warmonger and oh, we hadda vote our conscience for Bernie and Stein and…damnit, I’m not drained, I’m just fucking angry at all of this.

      We were warned in 2016 by Hillary–and yet, too many of the idiot Left didn’t listen…and didn’t care.

      • Badgerite

        We still have the drones program and it has been expanded and hidden again. Under Obama, that program had a certain level of transparency and more restraining rules.
        Those were the first things trump went after.

  • Badgerite

    The sticking point is their right to develop nuclear fuel in 2030? Seriously. So they will instead start developing that fuel now. And then what? This is crazy and destructive. The US has had sanctions on Iran forever. The sanctions that brought Iran to the table were an international regimen of sanctions in cooperation with allies such as Europe and even non allies such as Russia. Sanctions imposed only by the United States are sanctions that can leak. And leak a lot.

    • You are correct–the sanctions worked before ONLY because the entire world imposed them. Iran has already spoken to the other nations in the agreement and has already determined that if they continue to comply, the other countries won’t reimpose those sanctions. Thus Trump’s sanctions will have no effect. Ultimately the US will become more isolated than ever before, which is exactly what Putin wants. Putin is already Iran’s biggest backer in the region and this will increase his involvement the entire region. He is simply stepping into the vacuum that Trump is so helpfully creating. Elsewhere, China is stepping into that vacuum. The future belongs to the Russians and the Chinese now. Adam Silverman over at Balloon Juice is a foreign policy expert and breaks it down nicely. https://www.balloon-juice.com/2018/05/08/the-devolution-of-a-superpower-and-the-end-of-the-american-century-part-iii-it-appears-the-president-will-withdraw-the-us-from-the-jcpoa/

      • Badgerite

        As you say, the agreement was an international one which our allies allowed the United States to negotiate. For them, there is no reason to abandon that agreement if Iran does not. It will be the US that is the isolated figure here.
        Not Iran. And what can the US do about that. Sanction the countries that we have already started a lead up to a trade war with? Good luck with that.

        • Exactly. So we will not only be isolating ourselves by pulling out of the deal but Trump will turn around and punish our allies for violating the sanctions we’ve reimposed. Further pushing them away from us. Trump only knows how to double and triple down on stupid.

      • Badgerite

        Thanks for the link.

    • ninjaf

      This policy is exactly the same as his trade war.

      This man is dumber than a box of rocks.

      • Badgerite

        A box of rocks is better looking and has more charm. And intelligence.
        And character.

  • gescove

    Why is it that this cretin is allowed to make such a decision? What are the institutional checks to prevent him from doing this?

    • Badgerite

      The Senate has never officially ratified the Iran deal. To do so would require a 2/3 vote and the GOP was adamantly opposed to the deal. There was a vote to enable the President to pursue a deal. But no ratification of the treaty. I think trump can forget any ‘peace’ prize talk. Especially given what happens now which is clearly a push for war by trump and Bolton.

  • Nefercat

    Budderemails.

    Fucking gullible morons.

    • ninjaf

      I hope they’re enjoying their chastity rings they got for their purity votes for Stein, etc.