Healthcare

Trump: No Obamacare Replacement This Year

JM Ashby
Written by JM Ashby

If you're like me, you probably didn't watch Bill O'Reilly's interview with Trump that aired before the Super Bowl yesterday in which he implied that Obamacare isn't going anywhere anytime soon.

Trump told O'Reilly that the GOP's non-existent replacement may not materialize until next year.

Asked if Americans could expect a replacement plan in 2017, the president said, “yes, in the process and maybe it’ll take till sometime into next year but we’re certainly going to be in the process.”

He added that it’s “very complicated,” but urged Americans to remember that “Obamacare is a disaster.”

A full repeal of Obamacare has already seemingly been ruled out because the law is simply far too beneficial to all but the most batshit Republicans and their constituents, and what support there is for a full repeal of the law will only diminish with time.

Pushing back the process of repealing and replacing the law until later this year was a major blow to the process; pushing it back to next year could mean Obamacare will never be repealed or replaced.

Next year is an election year and that are early indications that Democrats will have a legit opportunity to fight for control of the House. Voting to kick tens of millions of people off their healthcare is not a vote very many politicians, even very conservatives one, are willing to make in a contested election.

Beyond the obvious politics, further delaying the process only entrenches the law and the vast systems that depend on it. Moreover, depending on the exact timeline of repeal, a bill passed in the Spring of 2018 may not be implemented until fiscal 2020 at the earliest.

Healthcare providers will begin filing their paperwork for fiscal 2018 next month under the assumption that healthcare insurance exchanges and most Obamacare regulations will remain in place for the next open enrollment period that begins in November. Providers will do the same in March of next year when they begin filing their paperwork for fiscal 2019. And so on.

The politics of kicking tens of millions of people off their healthcare are difficult, but so is the actual process of doing that. You cannot reorganize our entire healthcare system overnight.

There are significant reason why it took two years to draft and pass Obamacare and an additional four years to fully implement it. If we're lucky, and if everyone continues to fight back the way they have over the past several weeks, Trump may not even be around long enough to see Obamacare repealed.

  • Aynwrong

    I think ( by which I mean I hope) that we’re in the Letting the Clock Run Out stage of the political saga known as “Obamacare.” The GOP knows that if they pull the trigger on their promise to do away with it they’ll recreate the fever dream hysteria they worked so hard to foment eight years ago. Only they’ll be the ones getting screamed at by their constituency. Eight years ago it was fueled by lies. Their lies. This time of will be driven by the legitimate fear of families losing the ability to care for themselves or their loved ones.

    “…but urged Americans to remember that “Obamacare is a disaster.”

    If it’s such a disaster, I wouldn’t think the American people would need to be reminded.

  • I thought Trump said he was only a week or two away from presenting his replacement plan? Does this mean he lied?!? ::shock and horror::

    • mnpollio

      No – you silly person. It was just an “alternative fact”. Das Trumpf NEVER lies! Kelly Anne Conway and Sean Spicer assure us of this.

  • muselet

    “Obamacare is a disaster.”

    And yet Donald Trump and congressional Rs are saying they’re going to take a year or so to get rid of that disaster and replace it with their shiny, new, wonderful, magical health insurance plan that will be so great you’ll wonder why no one thought of it before.

    (My five bucks says whatever shit sandwich they come up with will crash the entire health insurance industry. I hope I lose that bet.)

    They’re not even trying to sound convincing any more.

    –alopecia

    • ninjaf

      Yeah, too bad they didn’t have the past 6 years controlling both house of Congress. If only they had that, then they could have started this process a little sooner. Or maybe at least have started planning.

      Or something. Yeah, if only…